Hot Hand Fallacy
Definition: Believes that past success increases the likelihood of future success in random events.
Example: He made 3 baskets in a row — he can’t miss now!
Tip: Treat each event independently unless there's causation.
An Encyclopedia of Errors in Reasoning
Definition: Believes that past success increases the likelihood of future success in random events.
Example: He made 3 baskets in a row — he can’t miss now!
Tip: Treat each event independently unless there's causation.